Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.120858 0.134902 0.149303 0.165133 0.182004 0.199408 0.218679
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102018 0.121199 0.141617 0.164833 0.190365 0.217463 0.248270
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.090013 0.112936 0.138132 0.167595 0.200821 0.236872 0.278684
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.079518 0.105078 0.134027 0.168744 0.208772 0.253032 0.305232
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.070104 0.097466 0.129359 0.168522 0.214592 0.266401 0.328405
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.062797 0.091629 0.126151 0.169463 0.221335 0.280530 0.352272
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.055658 0.085322 0.121815 0.168572 0.225535 0.291449 0.372269
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051438 0.082328 0.121221 0.171941 0.234610 0.307942 0.398701
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046631 0.078128 0.118759 0.172709 0.240317 0.320311 0.420223
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042155 0.073983 0.116048 0.172892 0.245098 0.331434 0.440191
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.037708 0.069494 0.112570 0.171823 0.248112 0.340275 0.457339
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034510 0.066523 0.110902 0.172916 0.253702 0.352166 0.478121
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032384 0.065096 0.111402 0.177032 0.263424 0.369545 0.506133
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029102 0.061620 0.108835 0.176897 0.267596 0.380021 0.525756
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027068 0.059921 0.108656 0.179897 0.275782 0.395506 0.551585
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024733 0.057518 0.107301 0.181167 0.281637 0.408042 0.573804
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022231 0.054595 0.104997 0.180975 0.285460 0.417958 0.592763
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020262 0.052394 0.103629 0.181986 0.290812 0.429785 0.614116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018030 0.049488 0.101007 0.181067 0.293469 0.438101 0.631044
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016965 0.048637 0.101510 0.184604 0.302144 0.454182 0.657803
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015425 0.046714 0.100199 0.185413 0.307043 0.465356 0.678371
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013903 0.044651 0.098537 0.185608 0.311034 0.475319 0.697404
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.012285 0.042190 0.096074 0.184492 0.313123 0.482740 0.713176